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	<title>Economics in Plain English &#187; Scarcity</title>
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	<itunes:subtitle>A podcast for students and teachers of Economics - theory, analysis, commentary</itunes:subtitle>
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	<itunes:author>Jason Welker</itunes:author>
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		<item>
		<title>The Tragedy of the Commons as a Market Failure</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2012/01/11/the-tragedy-of-the-commons-as-a-market-failure/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2012/01/11/the-tragedy-of-the-commons-as-a-market-failure/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Jan 2012 03:41:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Externalities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market failure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public goods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=2885</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the last few weeks in our IB Economics class, we have been studying cases in which markets fail to achieve an efficient, socially optimal level of production and consumption when the private buyers and sellers are left to interact in a free market. Markets fail in many ways; sometimes they produce too much of a [...]]]></description>
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<p>Over the last few weeks in our IB Economics class, we have been studying cases in which markets fail to achieve an efficient, socially optimal level of production and consumption when the private buyers and sellers are left to interact in a free market. Markets fail in many ways; sometimes they produce <em>too much</em> of a good, and sometimes <em>too little</em> is produced. There are some things society would benefit from having more of, while other things society would be better off with less than what is produced by the free market.</p>
<p>When the free market fails to achieve a socially optimal level of output, at which the costs and benefits not just of the individual consumers and producers are accounted for, but all social, environmental and health costs and benefits are weighed as well, the government may be able to improve on the free market outcome by intervening in some way. For example, certain goods deemed beneficial for society are simply under-provided by private firms: Education, infrastructure, public transportation, security, health care&#8230; these are all markets in which government often intervenes to increase the provision of the good to society. In other cases, government intervenes to decrease the amount of a good consumed: Cigarettes, alcohol, reckless driving, polluting factories, violence on TV, child pornography, dangerous drugs&#8230; in each of these cases governments tend to use taxes, regulation or legislation to reduce the amount of the harmful good available on the market.</p>
<p>Besides the <em>merit (beneficial) goods</em> and the <em>demerit (harmful) goods </em>described above, markets may fail in other ways as well. One notable form of market failure arises due to a phenomenon first articulated by <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Garrett_Hardin" target="_blank">American ecologist Garrett Hardin</a>, who warned of the <em>Tragedy of the Commons</em>. In his 1968 essay, Hardin explained that when there exist common resources, for which there is no private owner, the incentive among rational users of that resources is to exploit it to the fullest potential in order to maximize their own self gain before the resource is depleted. The tragedy of the commons, therefore, is that common resources will inevitably be depleted due to humans&#8217; self-interested behavior, leaving us with shortages in key resources essential to human survival.</p>
<p>Each of the videos below illustrates a different example of the tragedy of the commons. Watch the videos and think about how each applies Hardin&#8217;s concept.</p>
<p><strong>Example 1: </strong>Thousands of fishermen empty lake in minutes:</p>
<p><iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/_Tc6ywqoL6o" frameborder="0" width="560" height="315"></iframe></p>
<p><strong>Example 2 &#8211; </strong>Dr. Suess&#8217;s <em>The Lorax</em><br />
<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/i5jnJdnQPr8" frameborder="0" width="560" height="315"></iframe></p>
<p><strong>Example 3 &#8211; </strong>Tuna fishing<br />
<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/BA7enHKa5As" frameborder="0" width="560" height="315"></iframe></p>
<p>In each of the videos above, there is a common resource (fish and trees) over which no ownership has previously been established. The resource users (the Malian fishermen, the Once-ler and his family and the tuna boat), all have a strong incentive to maximize their own short term gain by extracting and exploiting the resource as quickly as possible.</p>
<ul>
<li>In the Mali fishing hole, the outcome is observable: within minutes the resource is depleted and there are no more fish for for future fisherman to enjoy.</li>
<li>In <em>The Lorax</em> the result of the Once-ler&#8217;s exploitation of the forest is foretold in the beginning of the story when the young boy comes upon the desolate outskirts of his town.</li>
<li>The tragedy of the commons acts as a warning to the tuna fishing industry, in which there are still tuna surviving in the world&#8217;s oceans, but at the rates industrial fishing boats such as the <em>Albatun Tres </em>exploit the resource, it will not be around much longer.</li>
</ul>
<div>In each instance above, a market failure occurs. Due to the lack of private ownership over valuable resources, self-interested individuals stand to gain by exploiting them to the fullest extent possible while they still exist. The unfortunate outcome is that over time the resources are exploited unsustainably until they are ultimately depleted. As in the case of merit and demerit goods, the market failure of <em>common resources</em> provides an opportunity for government to intervene to achieve a more socially optimal allocation of resources. In the interview below, Garrett Hardin suggests that there are only two possible solutions to the tragedy of the commons. Watch the video and then respond to the discussion questions that follow.</div>
<p><strong>Garret Hardin &#8211; the Tragedy of the Commons</strong><br />
<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/L8gAMFTAt2M" frameborder="0" width="560" height="315"></iframe></p>
<p><strong>Discussion Questions:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>Hardin refers to Karl Marx&#8217;s adage &#8220;from each according to his abilities, to each according to this needs.&#8221; What does Hardin have against this socialist idea?</li>
<li>How does Hardin&#8217;s example of a &#8220;common pasture&#8221; illustrate the tragedy of the commons? How is a common pasture similar to the three examples in the videos above?</li>
<li>According to Hardin, what are the only two solutions to the common pasture problem? Which of these solutions do you think would be most socially desirable?</li>
<li>Explain Hardin&#8217;s claim that &#8220;<em>the unmanaged commons cannot possibly work once the population gets above a certain size&#8221;. </em>Of the world&#8217;s common resources today, what are some examples of common resources that remain unmanaged?</li>
<li>Whose responsibility should it be to decide how common resources should be dealt with?</li>
<li>Do you agree with Hardin&#8217;s claim that &#8220;<em>the world cannot possibly live at the American standard of living at its present population size&#8221;</em>? Which of his predictions do you think is most likely to occur: Will the American (and Western European) standard of living have to go down or will the number of people in the world have to be reduced? Or is there a third possibility? Discuss.</li>
</ol>
<div class="shr-publisher-2885"></div><!-- Start Shareaholic LikeButtonSetBottom Automatic --><!-- End Shareaholic LikeButtonSetBottom Automatic --><p>Related posts:<ol>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2011/11/29/market-versus-government/' rel='bookmark' title='Market failure versus Government failure &#8211; what should we be more concerned about?'>Market failure versus Government failure &#8211; what should we be more concerned about?</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/01/14/global-warming-is-one-giant-market-failure/' rel='bookmark' title='&#8220;Global warming is one GIANT market failure&#8221;'>&#8220;Global warming is one GIANT market failure&#8221;</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2011/11/25/what-is-market-failure/' rel='bookmark' title='A video and audio introduction to Market Failure'>A video and audio introduction to Market Failure</a></li>
</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Welcome all new Econ students! Time to start thinking like economists</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2011/08/18/welcome-all-new-econ-students-time-to-start-thinking-like-economists/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2011/08/18/welcome-all-new-econ-students-time-to-start-thinking-like-economists/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Aug 2011 11:57:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Basic Economic Question]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=1731</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the questions I like to ask my student during the first week of class every year is &#8220;What is Economics?&#8221; The answers are always interesting to read, because unlike many other high school classes, Econ is one of those subjects students sometimes have no idea what it&#8217;s all about when they sign up [...]]]></description>
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<div id="_mcePaste">One of the questions I like to ask my student during the first week of class every year is &#8220;What is Economics?&#8221; The answers are always interesting to read, because unlike many other high school classes, Econ is one of those subjects students sometimes have no idea what it&#8217;s all about when they sign up for the class. Below are some of the definitions of &#8220;Economics&#8221; students shared in their first day survey this week:</div>
<ul>
<li>&#8220;Economics is the study of money flow between either countries or individual companies.&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;My definition of Economics is the control of money by a person, organization or nation.&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;Economics is a complex system that determines and justifies global prices, currency values, and ultimately the success of a nation.&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;I&#8217;d say Economics is the study of how humans use resources including income, investments, taxes and the economy.&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;I think economics is the study of investments and money. Especially income and outcome, and taxes in the government.&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;The study of the distribution of wealth and how human beings tend to handle wealth.&#8221;</li>
<li>
<div id="_mcePaste">&#8220;A bunch of old men moaning about all of the potentially free lunch oppurtunities they had missed in their youth, passed off as the behaviour of markets.&#8221;</div>
</li>
</ul>
<p>As you can see, most students do not yet have a clear definition of the subject in their heads when they start the course, which is perfectly understandable! So I thought I&#8217;d start the year off by sharing <em>my </em>definition of economics. Please read the following introduction to Economics then answer the discussion question that follows.</p>
<p>So what IS Economics, anyway? Well, look around you. What do you see? From here in my classroom at Zurich International School, I see five new condominium buildings being built. I can count eight yellow cranes swinging their arms hauling construction materials around their respective sites. Beyond the cranes I see a beautiful forest stretching up a hillside with green sheep pastures and quaint farm houses scattered here and there. I see a church steeple and the rooftops of the businesses down in the village below school. I can just see the tops of cars racing along the A3 highway to and from Zurich and the other cities of central and eastern Switzerland.</p>
<p>Now ask yourself, how did things get to be this way? Why are new condos going up in the midst of Europe&#8217;s deepest recession in decades? Why are farmers still able to graze sheep on hillsides when 100 square meter condos are selling for a million francs just below their fields? Why are the ancient forests of the Sihlwald still standing even as development has encroached into most of the region&#8217;s  forests and natural ecosystems? How do normal people make enough money to live comfortably in this expensive country? Where do the things we buy come from? Who built this computer I&#8217;m typing on and what will I be doing for a living in twenty years?</p>
<p>One of my favorite quotes that to me sums up what economics is all about comes not from an economist, but from the civil rights leader Martin Luther King. In 1967 King wrote:</p>
<blockquote><p>Did you ever stop to think that you can’t leave for your job in the morning without being dependent on most of the world? You get up in the morning and go to the bathroom and reach over for the sponge, and that’s handed to you by a Pacific islander. You reach for a bar of soap, and that’s given to you at the hands of a Frenchman. And then you go into the kitchen to drink your coffee for the morning, and that’s poured into your cup by a South American. And maybe you want tea: that’s poured into your cup by a Chinese. Or maybe you’re desirous of having cocoa for breakfast, and that’s poured into your cup by a West African. And then you reach over for your toast, and that’s given to you at the hands of an English-speaking farmer, not to mention the baker. And before you finish eating breakfast in the morning, you’ve depended on more than half the world. This is the way our universe is structured, this is its interrelated quality.</p></blockquote>
<p>Economics is about all the questions I posed above and it&#8217;s about all the interactions King describes. Economics is about solving one major problem faced by all human societies going back thousands of years. Economics is about the problem of scarcity. Scarcity is the natural phenomenon arising from the fact that all the world&#8217;s resources are physically limited in quantity.</p>
<p>Limited resources alone would not pose a problem if it were not for one characteristics of human beings that makes us truly unique in the animal kingdom. The fact that we have <em>desires and wants</em> beyond our basic physical needs. In the face of humans&#8217; practically unlimited desires and wants, the limited nature of the earth&#8217;s limited natural resources gives rise to conflicts regarding the allocation of those resources. <em>Economics is the social science that deals with the allocation of earth&#8217;s scarce resources among the competing wants and needs of society. </em>Economists provides society with various tools and techniques for efficiently allocating our scarce resources.</p>
<p><strong>Discussion question:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>Scarcity of resources has given rise to countless conflicts among and between societies throughout history. Identify one conflict from the past or present that you think the problem of scarcity gave rise to.</li>
<li>Some say that many of the environmental problems our world faces to day can be solved by economics. If that&#8217;s the case, then they must have to do with scarcity. Identify one environmental problem and explain how it relates to scarcity.</li>
<li>Time is one of the scarcest resources. Explain how the decisions you make regarding your limited time in and out of school can be considered economic decisions.</li>
</ol>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>My first Economics lesson &#8211; Scarce Chairs!!</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2011/08/16/my-first-economics-lesson-scarce-chairs/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2011/08/16/my-first-economics-lesson-scarce-chairs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Aug 2011 09:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[AP Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Basic Economic Question]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer surplus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Efficiency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IB Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lesson Plan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade-offs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=2430</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The following lesson is a great way to start an IB or AP Economics class for the year. I just tried it this morning for the first time and it went great! Instructions: Before your Econ students arrive for their first full class meeting, remove chairs until there are only half as many as you [...]]]></description>
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<p>The following lesson is a great way to start an IB or AP Economics class for the year. I just tried it this morning for the first time and it went great!</p>
<p><strong>Instructions: </strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Before your Econ students arrive for their first full class meeting, remove chairs until there are only half as many as you will have students. I stuck mine in the library, well out of view of the students coming to my class.</li>
<li>Tell students that the custodian removed the chairs for repairs, or they were taken to another room for a presentation or something. Anyway, you don&#8217;t know when they&#8217;ll come back and it may be a couple of weeks.</li>
<li>For now, we are stuck with this many chairs, and we have to figure out a way to resolve this problem!</li>
<li>Tell the students it&#8217;s up to them to decide how our limited number of chairs will be allocated. Have them brainstorm solutions out loud while you write their suggestions on the board.</li>
<li>Try to come up with 6-10 possible solutions, then have the students vote on the one they would like to see enacted. They can only vote once! Write the tallies next to each option on the board.</li>
<li>If there is a tie for #1, have the whole class vote between the two or three options you&#8217;ve narrowed it down to until there is one clear winner.</li>
</ul>
<div><strong>The Economist&#8217;s Solution:</strong></div>
<div>
<ul>
<li>Once the students have voted on their favorite solution, share with them the<img class="alignright size-full wp-image-2431" style="float: right;" title="chairs" src="http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/chairs.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="300" />&nbsp;<em>economist&#8217;s favorite solution.</em>&nbsp;It is known as a <em>sealed-bid auction.</em></li>
<li>Give each student a slip of scrap paper and have him write two things: 1) His name, and 2) the maximum price he would be willing and able to pay <em>each class period</em>&nbsp;to have a chair to sit on.</li>
<li>Collect the results, and in front of the students, organize their bids from highest to lowest. If there is a tie on the margin, have the students whose bids were identical bid again, writing their highest price on the back of the same slip of paper, then re-rank.</li>
<li>The students with the highest bids will get a chair! For example, I had 17 students, and only 8 chairs. The highest bid was $10, while three students were not willing to pay anything. Four kids were willing to pay $1, but there were only two chair left at that point. When they re-bid, one was willing to pay $2, one $1.75, $1.25 and $1.20. Therefore, the two remaining chairs went to the students willing to pay $2 and $1.75.</li>
<li>Finally, tell the winners that they can take a seat, and that everyone else must stand! At this point, of course, you can send the lowest bidders out to fetch the missing chairs and begin your debrief.</li>
</ul>
<div><strong>Economic concepts illustrated by the Scarce Chairs exercise:</strong></div>
</div>
<p><strong>Scarcity exists:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>When something is limited in supply and in demand, it is scarce.</li>
<li>Everyone wants to sit, but the chairs were missing&#8230; chairs were scarce.</li>
<li>Scarcity is a function of both demand and supply. The greater the demand relative to supply, the more scarce something is.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Choices must be made:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Because scarcity exists, we must make choices about how to allocate our scarce resources</li>
<li>We had to choose between competing systems for allocating the chairs</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Rationing systems:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>When faced with scarcity, a system must be decided upon to ration the scarce items.</li>
<li>The systems we decided upon ranged from a lottery to first come first serve to a merit-based system.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Something that is scarce has value:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Everyone wanted a chair, yet they were limited. Because the chairs provide us with benefit, we value them, and are therefore willing to pay to have one.</li>
<li>Value is a function of scarcity. The scarcer something is, the more valuable it becomes (gold), while less scarce items are less valuable (drinking water).</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Consumer surplus:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Consumer surplus is the difference between what you are willing to pay and what the price is.</li>
<li>Sofia would have had lots of consumer surplus if she only had to pay $2 , because she was willing to pay up to $10.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Equity versus Efficiency:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Equity means <em>fairness</em>, while efficiency requires that resources go towards their most socially optimal use, so that those who value something most end up getting that which they value.<em>&nbsp;</em></li>
<li>The tradeoff between equity and efficiency is a major theme of the IB Economics course.</li>
<li>What is most efficient (an auction to determine who is willing to pay the most for the chairs) may not be equitable (or fair).</li>
<li>When the richest students end up in the chairs, those with lesser ability to pay feel that they&rsquo;ve been treated unfairly.</li>
<li>A lottery in which names would be drawn from a hat to determine who gets a chair is certainly more equitable, but is actually less efficient, since those who get the chairs may not be those who place the greatest value on having a chair.</li>
<li>Auctioning the chairs assures that those who value them the most will end up getting them, therefore resources are allocated most efficiently.</li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<div class="shr-publisher-2430"></div><!-- Start Shareaholic LikeButtonSetBottom Automatic --><!-- End Shareaholic LikeButtonSetBottom Automatic --><p>Related posts:<ol>
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</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Price controls in the Chinese Petrol market &#8211; or why you may have to wait in line to fill your gas tank!</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/09/29/ah-ha-so-that-explains-the-long-lines-at-the-petrol-stations-around-shanghai-this-weekend/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/09/29/ah-ha-so-that-explains-the-long-lines-at-the-petrol-stations-around-shanghai-this-weekend/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Sep 2010 02:43:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Factors of Production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government Intervention]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Price controls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Subsidies]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[China rations diesel as record oil hits supplies &#124; Markets &#124; Reuters In the fall of 2007 I was living in Shanghai, China. At the time, oil prices were hitting record levels world wide, leading to rising petrol prices for drivers in most places.  However, at the time,  I began witnesing an unusual site on [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idUKPEK16220820071026">China rations diesel as record oil hits supplies | Markets | Reuters<br />
</a></p>
<p><a href="http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/petrol-queue.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-2769" style="border-style: initial; border-color: initial;" title="petrol queue" src="http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/petrol-queue-300x222.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="222" /></a></p>
<p>In the fall of 2007 I was living in Shanghai, China. At the time, oil prices were hitting record levels world wide, leading to rising petrol prices for drivers in most places.  However, at the time,  I began witnesing an unusual site on my taxi rides into the city of Shanghai: as our taxi passed petrol station after petrol station, I observed dozens of blue trucks (the ubiquitous medium of transporting good from Shanghai&#8217;s factories to her ports) spilling out of gas station parking lots into the road, apparently queued, waiting for a spot at the pump. I had never seen such long lines at any of the petrol stations around Shanghai before, and I began to wonder as to the reasons for these crazy long lines!</p>
<p>Well, an article at the time helped solve the riddle of the long lines. As it turns out, there was a simple explanation rooted in the principles of supply and demand that any first semester AP or IB economics student would understand! The Chinese government had been forced to ration petrol (limiting the amount that a driver can buy at one go) due to the shortages resulting from the government&#8217;s price controls in the petrol market.</p>
<blockquote><p>Truck drivers reported long queues at petrol stations along a national highway linking Fujian and Zhejiang provinces, with each truck getting 100 yuan ($13) worth of diesel, or around 20 litres, per visit at a state-run station and 40 litres at a private kiosk&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8220;What&#8217;s wrong with the oil market? Our drivers had to queue the whole night for only a small amount of fill, slowing the traffic by almost one day,&#8221; said Gao Meili, who manages a logistics company.</p></blockquote>
<p>China is a major importer of oil. With an economy growing around 12% in 2007, much of the country&#8217;s growth depended on the availability of crude oil at reasonable prices, which China&#8217;s oil refining firms turn into diesel and petrol, needed to get Chinese manufactured products from factory to port and from port to overseas consumers.</p>
<p>The problem with the oil market in China, however, was that as <em>&#8220;Chinese refiners cannot pass the souring crude costs on to consumers.&#8221;</em> Oil is an input needed to make a finished product, diesel. As the price of oil rose in 2007 (it reached a record of $92 per barrel in October of that year), the resource costs to petrol and diesel producers also rose, shifting the supply of petrol and diesel to the left, putting upward pressure on the equilibrium price.   As a first semester AP or IB student knows, resource costs are a determinant of supply, and as oil (the main resource in the production of petrol and diesel) increased in price, the supply of these important commodities invariably decreased.</p>
<p>In a free market, a decrease in supply leads to an increase in price. Herein lies the answer to the riddle of the long lies at petrol stations in Shanghai: <strong><em>t</em></strong><strong><em>he Chinese petrol and diesel market is not a free market</em></strong>. The government plays an active role in controlling prices paid by consumers for the finished product refiners are producing, petrol fuel:</p>
<blockquote><p>Beijing fears stoking already high inflation and rigidly caps pump fuel rates to shield users from a 50 percent rally in global oil so far this year.</p></blockquote>
<p>As the costs to petrol and diesel producers rose in 2007, the government in Beijing took the side of consumers and forbade fuel producers from raising the price they charge consumers.  The Chinese government essentially imposed a <em>price ceiling </em>in the market for petrol. A price ceiling is a <em>maximum price</em> set by a government aimed at helping consumers by keeping essential commodities like fuel affordable. As we have learned this week in AP and IB Economics, price controls such as this end up hurting BOTH producers AND consumers, since they only lead to a <em>dis-equilibrium</em> in the market in which the quantity demanded for a product rises while the quantity supplied by firms falls. The <em>shortage of petrol and diesel </em> resulting from the government&#8217;s price control are the perfect explanation for the long lines of blue trucks and motor scooters at all the gas stations in Shanghai during October of 2007.</p>
<p>So why, exactly, does the government&#8217;s enforcement of a lower than equilibrium price result in such severe shortages that truck drivers are only allowed to pump 20 litres of petrol per visit and made to wait hours each time they need to refill? Below is a supply and demand diagram that illustrates the situation in the Chinese fuel market in 2007:<br />
<img src="https://docs.google.com/drawings/pub?id=10Y9a1mUt_fMYwGqRYkiVsIJ8gWqsYGJLwB4BrzNt7sk&amp;w=960&amp;h=720" alt="" width="768" height="576" /></p>
<p>In the graph above, the supply of petrol has decreased due to the increasing cost of the main resource that goes into petrol, oil. This decrease in supply means petrol has become more scarce, and correspondingly the equilibrium price should rise. However, due to the government&#8217;s intervention in the petrol and diesel markets, the price <em>was not allowed to rise</em> and instead remained at the <em>maximum price </em>of Pc.</p>
<p>At the government-mandated maximum price of Pc, the quantity of fuel demanded by drivers far exceeds the quantity supplied by China&#8217;s petrol producers. The result is a shortage of petrol equal to Qd-Qs.</p>
<p>The government&#8217;s intention for keeping petrol prices low is clear: to make consumers happy and keep the costs of transportation among China&#8217;s manufacturers low so as to not risk a slow-down in economic growth in China. However, the net effect of the price controls is a loss of total welfare in the petrol market. Notice the colored areas in the graph above. These represent the effect on welfare (consumer and producer surplus) of the price control.</p>
<ul>
<li>The total areas of the green, orange and grey shapes represent the total amount of consumer and producer surplus in the petrol market assuming there were NO price controls. At a price of Pe, the quantity demanded and the quantity supplied are equal (at Qe) and the consumer surplus and producer surplus are maximized. The market is <em>efficient</em> at a price of Pe. Neither shortages nor surpluses of petrol exist.</li>
<li>However, at a price of Pc (the maximum price set by the government), the amount of petrol actually produced and consumed in the market is only Qs. Clearly, those who are able to buy petrol are better off, because they paid a lower price than they would have to without the price ceiling. But notice that there is a huge shortage of fuel now; many people who are willing and able to buy petrol at Pc simply cannot get the quantity they demand, because firms are simply not producing enough!</li>
<li>The total consumer surplus changes to the area below the demand curve and above Pc, but only out to Qs. The green area represents the consumer surplus after the price control. It is not at all obvious whether or not consumers are actually better off with the price ceiling.</li>
<li>The total producer surplus clearly shrinks to the orange triangle below Pc and above the supply curve. Petrol producers are definitely worse off due to the government&#8217;s action.</li>
<li>So how is the market as a whole affected? The black triangle represents the <em>net welfare loss</em> of the government&#8217;s price control. Notice that with a price of Pe, the black triangle would be added to consumer and producer surplus, but with a disequilibrium in the market at Pc, the black triangle is welfare lost to society.</li>
</ul>
<p>Price controls by government&#8217;s clearly have an intended purpose of helping either consumers (in the case of a maximum price or price ceiling) or producers (in the case of a minimum price or price floor).  But the effect is always predictable from an economist&#8217;s perspective. A price set by a government above or below the equilibrium price will <em>always</em> lead to either a shortage or a surplus of the product in question. In addition, there will always be a loss of total welfare resulting from price controls, meaning that society as a <em>whole</em> is worse off than it would be without government intervention.</p>
<p><strong>Discussion Questions:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>Why has the supply of petrol decreased?</li>
<li>With a fall in supply of a commodity like petrol, does the demand change, or the quantity demanded? What is the difference?</li>
<li>Define &#8220;consumer surplus&#8221; and &#8220;producer surplus&#8221;. Why does a government&#8217;s control of prices reduce the total welfare of consumers and producers in a market like petrol?</li>
<li>How would a government subsidy to petrol producers provide a more desirable solution to the high oil prices than the maximum price described in this post? In your notes, sketch a new market diagram for petrol and show the effects on supply, demand, price and quantity of a government subsidy to petrol producers. Does a subsidy create a loss of welfare? Why or why not?</li>
</ol>
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</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The Hidden Costs of War</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/09/09/the-hidden-costs-of-war/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/09/09/the-hidden-costs-of-war/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Sep 2010 16:22:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe Hauet</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opportunity cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[This past weekend, the Obama administration officially put an end to US combat in Iraq. Seven years after the invasion, both politicians and economists are looking back and asking themselves, was the invasion into Iraq and the ensuing occupation of coalition forces actually worth it. Or in economic terms, was the benefit of the war [...]]]></description>
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<p>This past weekend, the Obama administration officially put an end to US combat in Iraq. Seven years after the invasion, both politicians and economists are looking back and asking themselves, was the invasion into Iraq and the ensuing occupation of coalition forces actually worth it. Or in economic terms, was the benefit of the war greater than the costs of fighting it.</p>
<p>What have been the benefits of the US being in Iraq? Have their indeed been any and if so how can we measure them?  There are some clear explicit benefits that can be measured such as companies that have profited from the war as well as evidence of increased investment in the middle east due to the presence of the coalition forces. But there are also benefits that are hard to measure such as the creation of democracy, freedom or the removal of a ruthless dictator. On the cost side there are explicit costs for the war in Iraq such as the total amount currently spent by the US Government which is around 748 billion USD. Like the benefits there are also costs that are hard to place a number on such as  the human cost with an estimate of over 100,000 total deaths, close to 4400 of which were Americans. For a more detailed look at these costs you can view the <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2010/05/iraq_war_ledger.html">American Progress web site</a>.</p>
<p>But as you know, economists do not only look at the explicit or obvious costs. In order to get a better understanding of the true costs of a decision, economists must look at the “could have beens” or the opportunity costs. In their recent article <strong><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/09/03/AR2010090302200.html">“The true cost of the Iraq war: $3 trillion and beyond”</a></strong> Nobel Economics recipient Joseph Stiglitz and Harvard Professor Linda Bilmes do just this. They calculate the costs of the war not only based on the explicit costs, but on the hidden ones. Several years ago, the authors estimated that the costs of the war in Iraq would eventually reach 3 trillion USD. This week, they claim that they may have underestimated the amount. The article states ,</p>
<blockquote><p><em>Moreover, two years on, it has become clear to us that our estimate did not capture what may have been the conflict&#8217;s most sobering expenses: those in the category of &#8220;might have beens,&#8221; or what economists call opportunity costs. For instance, many have wondered aloud whether, absent the Iraq invasion, we would still be stuck in Afghanistan. And this is not the only &#8220;what if&#8221; worth contemplating. We might also ask: If not for the war in Iraq, would oil prices have risen so rapidly? Would the federal debt be so high? Would the economic crisis have been so severe? The answer to all four of these questions is probably no. The central lesson of economics is that resources &#8212; including both money and attention &#8212; are scarce. What was devoted to one theater, Iraq, was not available elsewhere.</em></p></blockquote>
<p>Economists believe that if we can get a sense of what the “true costs” of a decision are, then we can make a more rational choice when faced with a decision.  Read the following two articles, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/09/03/AR2010090302200.html"><strong>the one quoted above by Joseph Stiglitz</strong></a> and the other entitled<strong> <a href="http://www.heritage.org/research/commentary/2006/03/iraq-weighing-the-costs-benefits">Iraq: Weighing the Costs and Benefits</a></strong> by Tim Kane and answer the following questions:</p>
<p>Questions</p>
<ol>
<li>Why is it important to look at the hidden costs when making a decision?</li>
<li>In your opinion, what would be some of the opportunity costs associated with not invading Iraq? What are some that are associated with invading Iraq?</li>
<li> In your opinion, is it possible to properly do a cost benefit analysis of a war? Are there some things that we cannot put a price on? Is it possible to use opportunity costs as “true costs” when they are essentially “could have beens”?</li>
</ol>
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<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/04/renewable-energy-resources-still-have-significant-opportunity-costs/' rel='bookmark' title='Renewable energy resources still have significant opportunity costs'>Renewable energy resources still have significant opportunity costs</a></li>
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		<title>&#8220;Guns vs. Butter&#8221; &#8211; The PPC and tradeoffs in the real world</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/09/02/guns-vs-butter-a-real-world-example/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/09/02/guns-vs-butter-a-real-world-example/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Sep 2010 02:11:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opportunity cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Production possibilities curve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public goods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[School kids feel the bite of high food prices &#8211; May. 5, 2008 A classic method of teaching the basic economic concept of the production possibilities curve is to illustrate the relationship between a nation&#8217;s decision to invest in military goods versus civilian goods. The model typically includes two &#8220;products&#8221; that a nation can choose [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/04/30/news/economy/school_lunch/index.htm?section=money_news_economy">School kids feel the bite of high food prices &#8211; May. 5, 2008</a></p>
<p>A classic method of teaching the basic economic concept of the production possibilities curve is to illustrate the relationship between a nation&#8217;s decision to invest in military goods versus civilian goods. The model typically includes two &#8220;products&#8221; that a nation can choose to invest in: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guns_versus_butter_model">guns and butter</a>. The specific goods themselves are not so important, rather what they are meant to represent: the tradeoff any nation faces between allocating more of its scarce resources towards national defense versus goods and services that benefit the nation&#8217;s consumers.</p>
<p><img src="https://docs.google.com/drawings/pub?id=1vhhcx_wSUUc-Eo-ITUUSkE1pzFp6RddLwL_cTFll5yk&amp;w=960&amp;h=720" alt="" width="691" height="518" /><br />
Today the United States faces a very real version of the old &#8220;guns vs. butter&#8221; model. Rising global food prices have put public school districts in a bind: how to feed kids nutritious meals as the prices ingredients has risen at unprecedented rates:</p>
<blockquote><p>Rising food prices are making it harder for schools to cook up ways to give kids the nutrition they need.</p>
<p>Right now, they&#8217;re taking shortcuts and shuffling ingredients to make up the difference, but that&#8217;s only a short-term solution with long-term consequences on the horizon.</p>
<p>&#8220;I&#8217;ve been in school service for 27 years and this is the worst it&#8217;s ever been,&#8221; said Sara Gasiorowski, food service director for Wayne Township Schools in Indianapolis. &#8220;I have never seen food prices jump up so far&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>Food prices nationwide have risen 4.5% between March 2007 and March 2008, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics&#8217; Consumer Price Index, with flour and eggs rising even more dramatically than milk. Grumbles said milk prices in her district are up 22% from last year, which means an increase of 3.5 cents for each of the federally required 16,000 half-pints she provides every day.</p>
<p>&#8220;For every penny on a carton of milk, it costs me $30,000 a year,&#8221; she said. &#8220;That&#8217;s $105,000 extra on my food bill.&#8221;</p>
<p>Flour prices have roughly doubled over the last year, according to Grumbles, to $19 per 50-pound bag. To make up for the difference, she substitutes canned peaches for fresh apples &#8220;to save a couple pennies&#8221; per meal, or she uses ground beef in place of chicken.</p></blockquote>
<p>Unfortunately, federal funding for school lunches has increased at a much slower rate than cost to districts of providing those meals:</p>
<blockquote><p>Federal reimbursement programs cover all or part of school districts&#8217; lunch tabs. Congress lifts reimbursement rates every year, but Gasiorowski said it hasn&#8217;t been enough: &#8220;We need to be looking at an increase of 12% to 15%, instead of our usual annual increase of 2 or 3%.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>The current federal reimbursement program is based on household incomes; the poorest American students receive $2.47 of federal funding towards their &#8220;free lunches&#8221;, while students from the highest income bracket only receive $0.23 per meal. The problem is, the average school lunch now costs $3.10, so these days no one is actually receiving a &#8220;free lunch&#8221;, not even the poorest American students.</p>
<p>This article struck me in that is truly does illustrate the concept of tradeoffs as illustrated in the production possibilities curve. Society must allocate its scarce resources towards the goods and services it deems most desirable based on the needs of its citizens. Complications arise in this basic model, however, when government is involved.</p>
<p>The commitment to subsidizing school lunches is based on the idea that if the responsibility of feeding American school children were left to the free market, resources would surely be underallocated towards nutritious meals, representing a market failure. School lunches are a <em>merit good,</em> meaning they would be underprovided by the free market, since without public provision and support, millions of American children would come to school every day without nutritious meals to get them through the day.</p>
<p>National defense is another service that governments find it necessary to provide.  If it were left completely up to the free market, national defense would probably not be provided at all. Instead, only individuals who could afford it would hire private security forces to protect their property. To protect a whole nation, however, government provision of defense is a necessity.</p>
<p>Clearly, both &#8220;guns&#8221; and &#8220;butter&#8221; create benefits for society. Among the countless other goods and services the government provides or supports the provision of, the United States faces a tradeoff arising from the scarce resources at the government&#8217;s disposal. Currently, the US government spends far more on  its military ($660 billion in 2010!) than it does on lunches for American school children. Clearly, military spending is necessary, but it may be that in the tradeoff between these two important services more resources should be allocated towards &#8220;butter&#8221; at a period in the US economy when low income households are finding it harder than ever to provide their children with one of life&#8217;s most basic necessities, nutritious food.</p>
<p><strong>Discussion Questions:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>What do &#8220;guns and butter&#8221; represent on the PPC above? Why have economists found it useful to use these two goods on their analysis of the tradeoffs faced by nations?</li>
<li>Why doesn&#8217;t the United States just make all school lunches FREE for all American school children? Wouldn&#8217;t that make sense? Give an economic argument <em>against</em> this suggestion.</li>
<li>Why does the government feel it necessary to allocate <em>any</em> resources towards school lunches? Shouldn&#8217;t the government just let American families provide their <em>own </em>children with lunch?</li>
<li>Say the US government decided to increase its provision of <em>both</em> national defen<em>se and </em>school lunches, without reducing its provision of some other good or service. How would it do this? Why wouldn&#8217;t the government do this?</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Update: </strong>I received an email message from a reader about the above blog post:</p>
<blockquote><p>I have to say that your &#8220;guns and butter&#8221; diagram is &#8220;interesting.&#8221;  I am not clear on why the United States should spend vastly more on school lunches than on defending the free world   While government provided school lunches may have a place, most Americans feed their own children and do not depend on Federal financing.</p>
<p>Where did you get the notion that feeding our children would be &#8220;under-provided by the free market&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Here was my reply to this reader. I&#8217;m posting it here because I want to make it clear the the diagram above is not meant to make any political statement about US military spending:</p>
<blockquote><p>Hello,</p>
<p>Actually, the PPC was included simply to illustrate the basic tradeoff that society faces when it chooses how to allocate its scarce resources.</p>
<p>Having taught at least for a short while in public schools, I can say that nutritious lunches are definitely &#8220;underprovided&#8221; by the free market, that is, many students in poor communities in America depend on the &#8220;free and reduced&#8221; lunches that are provided through federal and state funding programs&#8230; I once volunteer taught in a poor Elementary School in Spokane, Washington where 40% of the students ate only two meals a day, both provided free by the school district: one at 8 in the morning, one at noon. Many of these children had parents who were poor, unemployed, often addicted to drugs, who failed to put any food on the table whatsoever.</p>
<p>In other words, I do think that nutritious meals are a &#8220;merit good&#8221; which by definition is one that is underprovided by the free market, therefore requires subsidies from the government. Otherwise, why would the government offer such subsidies at all, if these meals were something the free market could adequately provide on its own?</p>
<p>Again, I was not making any political statement with the graph, only pointing out the basic economic concept of tradeoffs and the idea that society must allocate its scarce resources towards an &#8220;optimal&#8221; combination of goods and services. The article indicates that in this time of rising food prices, not enough of America&#8217;s resources are going towards providing nutritious meals for school children, indicating that a movement along the PPC might be in order. The degree of such a move is irrelevant, only the fact that a movement must occur if nutritious meals are to continue to be provided. In fact, the x-axis could have represented any other public good the government provides for society, I chose &#8220;military spending&#8221; so that the current example was consistent with the classic example of &#8220;guns vs. butter&#8221;.</p>
<p>Hope that clears things up&#8230; Best regards,</p>
<p>Jason</p></blockquote>
<div class="shr-publisher-448"></div><!-- Start Shareaholic LikeButtonSetBottom Automatic --><!-- End Shareaholic LikeButtonSetBottom Automatic --><p>Related posts:<ol>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2009/09/15/guns-and-butter-a-dangerous-combination/' rel='bookmark' title='Guns and Butter &#8211; a dangerous combination'>Guns and Butter &#8211; a dangerous combination</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/04/renewable-energy-resources-still-have-significant-opportunity-costs/' rel='bookmark' title='Renewable energy resources still have significant opportunity costs'>Renewable energy resources still have significant opportunity costs</a></li>
</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>International Trade Made Simple</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/08/20/international-trade-made-simple/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/08/20/international-trade-made-simple/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2008 00:30:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Latter</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Balance of Payments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balance of Trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Efficiency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Globalization]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Standard of Living]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Is international trade really as good for a nation’s standard of living as economists say? And, what the heck is comparative advantage anyway? And what about the foreign currency market and those confusing supply &#38; demand curves? Yes, the quest to understand the economic benefits of international trade is enough to make any citizen or [...]]]></description>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Is international trade really as good for a nation’s standard of living as economists say? And, what the heck is comparative advantage anyway? And what about the foreign currency market and those confusing supply &amp; demand curves? Yes, the quest to understand the economic benefits of international trade is enough to make any citizen or first-year economic student vomit, tremble, get a headache, or at least curse.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Having been an AP Economics’ teacher for 8 years now, I must candidly admit that it took me a few years of study and research to try to reduce international trade to pure simplicity and understanding. Let me give it a shot below. I love simplicity.</span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The average “Joe Citizen” in almost any country in the world is suspicious of trade, and rightfully so, since he reads or observes factories being closed, jobs lost, and the feeling that somehow his country is going down the toilet as his own home fills up with foreign-made products. Unfortunately, what Joe Citizen does not understand is that the money his own nation is spending for those foreign products (imports) is spent right back into the pockets of his own country, increasing employment and income.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Let’s take a single, real-world, international trade example being careful to accurately explain the whole economic story:</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Let’s say that the United States (we’ll say Wal-Mart) decides to buy several shirts costing $400 from a Chinese shirt manufacturer, in lieu of buying those same shirts from a shirt manufacturer in Elon, North Carolina (USA). As a US AP Economics’ teacher I am one of about only 47 Americans in Fairfax County Virginia, which not coincidentally ties to the number of AP Students I taught this year, that quickly understand that the decision to purchase the shirts from China, in lieu of the US manufacturer in North Carolina, is actually BETTER for America and will make my home country better off in the long run! What? Mr. Latter, are you Benedict Arnold, the American traitor, reincarnated? </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Let me explain how the US benefits (and China too!) in simple terms ignoring foreign currency transactions, which will just confuse the discussion and cause the student to lose sight of what is really happening:</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The first key point is that when Wal-Mart buys the shirts from China for $400 it can only pay China with US dollars. Why? Because Wal-Mart has only US dollars! It has no Chinese currency (Yuan). It literally drains its bank account of US dollars that are transferred/paid to China! </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The second key point is that when China receives that same $400 US dollars for the shirts, China cannot, unfortunately, spend any of the $400 in its own economy since only the Yuan is accepted as a medium of exchange in China! China is now forced to either throw the currency away (not advised!), or immediately spend the money back to the USA (advised!).</span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">In summary, China</span><span style="font-size: 10pt;"> has actually traded a product (shirts!) for paper (US dollars!), and those US dollars cannot be spent in China. For China to receive any value at all for the shirts it sent to America, China must now spend the $400 back into the US economy for, say, a global positioning system (GPS) from FleetMatics out of Waverly, Massachusetts (USA). Cutting through to simplicity, in essence, it&#8217;s almost as if Wal-Mart (USA) just paid FleetMatics (USA) $400 directly for the shirts!</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Yes, the “punch line” is that all home-currency spending by the domestic nation on foreign products (imports), in turn, are spent right back to the domestic nation increasing the domestic nation&#8217;s employment, income, and standard of living. (Note; this is shown in a nation’s balance of payments schedule which always nets to zero, but, yuk, who cares about that right now with summer coming!)</span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">And, yes, let’s not forget that Elon, North Carolina shirt maker that did not get the original $400 from Wal-Mart in our above example! Our nation loves competition (ready for the Olympics?) and I am excited to see if that North Carolina shirt manufacturer can “raise their game” (increase productivity), and hopefully get the next shirt contract from Wal-Mart or some other firm! If not, well, that North Carolina firm may just have to close down.</span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">If you are still reading this post at this point, you may be thinking the following if you have a little economics’ background: “But the US has a growing trade deficit with China, so China may not immediately buy that GPS system from FleetMatics for $400”. And, you are correct, but that is also not a problem for either the United States or China. What China is really doing right now is deciding to temporarily save or invest a minority percentage of their US dollars received back into America in lieu of buying US products. Said another way, China is not buying as many GPS’ as the US is buying shirts and, of course, we call that phenomenon the US trade deficit which immediately seems to speak “problem”. But it is really no problem at all! China is still spending their &#8220;saved&#8221; US dollars back into the US economy, but in different ways.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>China is saving and investing some of those US dollars directly into the United States economy by building plants in America, buying US stock to fund American companies’ expansions, and temporarily saving some of their dollars, for future US purchases, by buying US bonds to help the US government pay for the war in Iraq, the war against terrorism, and several other US government initiatives necessitating borrowing. Eventually, China will sell these US bonds and buy that GPS system or build more plants to employ more Americans!</span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Now one last thing. Promise! Let’s get back to why trade is really so economically advantageous to any nation that pursues it. And by advantageous, I mean how it increases our incomes and standards of living. In one word, the answer is “productivity”. If we go back to the original example of the US buying shirts from China and China taking the US dollars to buy the GPS, we remember that the shirt manufacturer from North Carolina was “left out in the cold” because Wal-Mart did not buy the shirts from them. We can logically conclude that perhaps some Chinese manufacturer of GPS systems was “left out in the cold” because some Chinese business elected to buy from FleetMatics in the USA, and not the Chinese GPS manufacturer. Wow, I love global competition! What a great way to incent businesses in both the USA and China to compete against each other and increase their productivity and conserve our nations&#8217; scarce resources, increase our choice, and lower our costs!</span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><strong>Discussion Questions:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>Which basic economic principles underly the emergence of international trade as a global economic force.</li>
<li>Who are the winners and losers of trade between the US and China as explained above?</li>
<li>Why do you think free trade is such a controversial topic among certain groups of Americans an other Western nations&#8217; people?</li>
</ol>
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<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2009/03/08/buy-american-is-un-american-the-us-stimulus-package/' rel='bookmark' title='&#8220;Buy American&#8221; is Un-American (The U.S. Stimulus Package)'>&#8220;Buy American&#8221; is Un-American (The U.S. Stimulus Package)</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/10/08/welkers-daily-links-10232008/' rel='bookmark' title='The clear and simple gains from trade'>The clear and simple gains from trade</a></li>
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</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Gas Price Floor Should Be Set At $4 A Gallon</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/06/08/by-charles-krauthammer-posted-friday-june-06-2008-430-pm-pt/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/06/08/by-charles-krauthammer-posted-friday-june-06-2008-430-pm-pt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Jun 2008 21:22:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Latter</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Behavioral Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer behavior]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Efficiency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil prices]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[At $4, Everybody Gets Rational &#8211; Washingtonpost.com Here is another excellent gas price article containing accurate economic principles. Yes, the non-economist (ie, average citizen) doesn&#8217;t get it on how higher gas prices will ultimately lead a nation&#8217;s economy to conservation, energy independence and efficiency in the long run. Hey, I&#8217;ll be honest: I don&#8217;t like [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/05/AR2008060503434.html" target="_blank">At $4, Everybody Gets Rational &#8211; Washingtonpost.com</a></p>
<p>Here is another excellent gas price article containing accurate economic principles.</p>
<p>Yes, the non-economist (ie, average citizen) doesn&#8217;t get it on how higher gas prices will ultimately lead a nation&#8217;s economy to conservation, energy independence and efficiency in the long run.</p>
<p>Hey, I&#8217;ll be honest: I don&#8217;t like higher gas prices any more than I do going to the dentist, but I am glad they are rising as I see and read about SUV purchases falling off a cliff, driving habits changing right before my very eyes, and the quantity demanded for gasoline falling fast.</p>
<blockquote><p>By <a id="ctl00_maincontent_FeedList_ctl00_AuthorLink" href="http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/wp-admin/AuthorProfile.aspx?id=255302646710074">CHARLES KRAUTHAMMER</a> | Posted Friday, June 06, 2008</p>
<p>So now we know: The price point is $4.</p>
<p>At $3 a gallon, Americans just grin and bear it, suck it up, and, while complaining profusely, keep driving like crazy.</p>
<p>At $4, it is a world transformed. Americans become rational creatures. Mass transit ridership is at a 50-year high. Driving is down 4%. (Any U.S. decline is something close to a miracle.) Hybrids and compacts are flying off the lots. SUV sales are in free fall.</p>
<p>The wholesale flight from gas guzzlers is stunning in its swiftness, but utterly predictable. Everything has a price point. Remember that &#8220;love affair&#8221; with SUVs? Love, it seems, has its price too.</p>
<p>America&#8217;s sudden change in car-buying habits makes suitable mockery of that absurd debate Congress put on last December on fuel efficiency standards. At stake was precisely what miles-per-gallon average would every car company&#8217;s fleet have to meet by precisely what date.</p>
<p>It was one out-of-a-hat number (35 mpg) compounded by another (by 2020). It involved, as always, dozens of regulations, loopholes and throws at a dartboard. And we already knew from past history what the fleet average number does.</p>
<p>When oil is cheap and everybody wants a gas guzzler, fuel efficiency standards force manufacturers to make cars that nobody wants to buy. When gas prices go through the roof, this agent of inefficiency becomes an utter redundancy.</p>
<p>At $4 a gallon, the fleet composition is changing spontaneously and overnight, not over the 13 years mandated by Congress. (Even Stalin had the modesty to restrict himself to five-year plans.)</p>
<p>Just Tuesday, GM announced that it would shutter four SUV and truck plants, add a third shift to its compact and midsize sedan plants in Ohio and Michigan, and green-light for 2010 the Chevy Volt, an electric hybrid.</p>
<p>Some things, like renal physiology, are difficult. Some things, like Arab-Israeli peace, are impossible. And some things are preternaturally simple. You want more fuel-efficient cars? Don&#8217;t regulate. Don&#8217;t mandate. Don&#8217;t scold. Don&#8217;t appeal to the better angels of our nature. Do one thing:</p>
<p>Hike the cost of gas until you find the price point.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, instead of hiking the price ourselves by means of a gasoline tax that could be instantly refunded to the American people in the form of lower payroll taxes, we let the Saudis, Venezuelans, Russians and Iranians do the taxing for us — and pocket the money that the tax would have recycled back to the American worker.</p>
<p>This is insanity. For 25 years and with utter futility (starting with &#8220;The Oil-Bust Panic,&#8221; the New Republic, February 1983), I have been advocating the cure: a U.S. energy tax as a way to curtail consumption and keep the money at home.</p>
<p>In May 2004 (and again in November 2005), I called for &#8220;the government — through a tax — to establish a new floor for gasoline,&#8221; by fully taxing any drop in price below a certain benchmark.</p>
<p>The point was to suppress demand and to keep the savings (from any subsequent world price drop) at home in the U.S. Treasury rather than going abroad. At the time, oil was $41 a barrel. It is now $123.</p>
<p>But instead of doing the obvious — tax the damn thing — we go through spasms of destructive alternatives, such as efficiency standards, ethanol mandates and now a crazy carbon cap-and-trade system the Senate debated last week. These are infinitely complex mandates for inefficiency and invitations to corruption. But they have a singular virtue: They hide the cost to the American consumer.</p>
<p>Want to wean us off oil? Be open and honest. The British are paying $8 a gallon for petrol. Goldman Sachs is predicting we will be paying $6 by next year. Why have the extra $2 (above the current $4) go abroad? Have it go to the U.S. Treasury as a gasoline tax and be recycled back into lower payroll taxes.</p>
<p>Announce a schedule of gas tax hikes of 50 cents every six months for the next two years. And put a tax floor under $4 gasoline, so that as high gas prices transform the U.S. auto fleet, change driving habits and thus hugely reduce U.S. demand — and bring down world crude oil prices — the American consumer and the American economy reap all of the benefit.</p>
<p>Herewith concludes my annual exercise in futility. By the time I advocate the tax floor again next year, you&#8217;ll be paying for gas in bullion.</p></blockquote>
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<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2010/09/29/ah-ha-so-that-explains-the-long-lines-at-the-petrol-stations-around-shanghai-this-weekend/' rel='bookmark' title='Price controls in the Chinese Petrol market &#8211; or why you may have to wait in line to fill your gas tank!'>Price controls in the Chinese Petrol market &#8211; or why you may have to wait in line to fill your gas tank!</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/18/federal-price-gouging-prevention-act-aka-the-stupid-bill/' rel='bookmark' title='Federal Price Gouging Prevention Act: aka the &#8220;STUPID&#8221; bill'>Federal Price Gouging Prevention Act: aka the &#8220;STUPID&#8221; bill</a></li>
</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Enter the age of inflation&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/04/09/enter-the-age-of-inflation/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/04/09/enter-the-age-of-inflation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2008 06:14:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Basic Economic Question]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Globalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Rising inflation in Asia stings in the West &#8211; International Herald Tribune I hate bad news. But this is bad news. Just as the US economy is about to officially enter its long-dreaded recession triggered by falling home prices and weak investment and consumption, it looks like inflation will continue to accelerate as wages and [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://iht.com/articles/2008/04/07/business/inflate.php">Rising inflation in Asia stings in the West &#8211; International Herald Tribune</a></p>
<p>I hate bad news. But this is bad news. Just as the US economy is about to officially enter its long-dreaded recession triggered by falling home prices and weak investment and consumption, it looks like inflation will continue to accelerate as wages and commodity prices skyrocket across Asia.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Inflation is the major threat to Asian countries,&#8221; said Jong-Wha Lee, the head of the Asian Development Bank&#8217;s office of regional economic integration.<br />
It is also a threat to Western consumers because Asian exporters, even in very poor countries, are passing their rising costs on to their customers.</p></blockquote>
<p>Now Americans are in big trouble. While the dollar plummets, making imports more expensive, wages and input prices in Asia are climbing, leading to autonomous increases in the price levels overseas.</p>
<blockquote><p>That puts American consumers in a double bind, paying at least some of producers&#8217; higher costs for making their goods, and higher prices on top of that because the dollar buys less in those countries.</p></blockquote>
<p>So where lies the hope for relief? Is there any? What are the possibilities that input costs will fall in Asia, offering relief to consumers in the West? Daniel Altman, the International Herald Tribune&#8217;s economics blogger, <a href="http://blogs.iht.com/tribtalk/business/globalization/?p=691">has this to say</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>On the labor question, there is some precedent for relief. When wages rose in Japan and Korea, production of cheap consumer goods and electronics shifted to Hong Kong and Malaysia. When wages there rose, it moved to China and Vietnam. With higher wages in those countries, it could shift to poorer nations in Africa, Central Asia and Latin America &#8211; provided those nations are stable enough to do business with foreigners.</p>
<p>There is no relief in sight for energy and commodity prices, however. Demand is simply too great. New technology could provide some answers with time, though it’s not clear how it can solve problems like the lead and copper shortages. In the short term, we may simply have to accept that living standards, judged by our material consumption, will not rise as quickly as they have in the past couple of decades. It was a nice ride while it lasted, eh?</p></blockquote>
<p>Globalization and free trade have led to huge improvements in access to affordable manufactured goods for Western consumers. The hope that cheap imports will drive our consumptive lifestyles into the future, however, is waning as the basic economic problem of scarcity rears its ugly head in labor and commodity markets.</p>
<p><strong>Discussion Questions:<br />
</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>Is global inflation today primarily demand-pull or cost-push? How do you know?</li>
<li>What implications do rising wages in China have for less developed countries such as those in Africa and Latin America?</li>
<li>As commodity supplies dwindle, how can the world&#8217;s economies continue to grow? Can they? Will the world ever reach a point where continued growth is impossible and a period of contraction begins?</li>
</ol>
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<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/03/13/will-the-feds-easy-money-policy-fuel-global-inflation/' rel='bookmark' title='Will the Fed&#8217;s easy money policy fuel global inflation?'>Will the Fed&#8217;s easy money policy fuel global inflation?</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/24/macro-theory-classical-vs-keynesian-views-of-inflation/' rel='bookmark' title='IB Review &#8211; Neo-classical vs. Keynesian views of inflation'>IB Review &#8211; Neo-classical vs. Keynesian views of inflation</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/03/09/unemployment-down-but-more-people-out-of-work/' rel='bookmark' title='Unemployment and inflation: understanding the Fed&#8217;s balancing act'>Unemployment and inflation: understanding the Fed&#8217;s balancing act</a></li>
</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>May I repeat your order? One six foot six PhD with blue eyes and blonde hair. And your total is&#8230;?</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/16/may-i-repeat-your-order-one-six-foot-six-phd-with-blue-eyes-and-blonde-hair-and-your-total-is/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/16/may-i-repeat-your-order-one-six-foot-six-phd-with-blue-eyes-and-blonde-hair-and-your-total-is/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Sep 2007 09:35:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The price of sperm &#124; Free exchange &#124; Economist.com What are sperm banks thinking? This reflective post from Free Exchange takes an economist&#8217;s look at the market for donated sperm, where only recently have sperm banks been charging interested mothers an additional fee for the sperm from PhD holding donors. Here&#8217;s the thing, if mothers [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2007/09/inefficiency.cfm">The price of sperm | Free exchange | Economist.com</a></p>
<p>What are sperm banks thinking? This reflective post from Free Exchange takes an economist&#8217;s look at the market for donated sperm, where only recently have sperm banks been charging interested mothers an additional fee for the sperm from PhD holding donors.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the thing, if mothers are willing to pay more for the higher quality DNA within a PhD&#8217;s sperm, wouldn&#8217;t they also be willing to pay for other qualities as well?</p>
<blockquote><p>For example, should donors be compensated extra for every inch of height? Or for being fine featured? And what about athletic prowess? Surely some donors are more popular than othersâ€”and thus their sperm should exhibit greater scarcity and desirability. Why does the market not price that?</p></blockquote>
<p>It&#8217;s a great question, and one that relates to the interaction of supply and demand in the marketplace. The fact is, sperm banks are not following the rules of supply and demand in the prices they charge mothers and their payments to donors.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8230;perhaps more accomplished donors would step forward if they were compensated more handsomely for their achievements. More aggressive bidding for sperm could raise the quality of donors, leading to more options for customers, andâ€”who knows?â€”more talented children.</p></blockquote>
<p>If prospective mothers really value certain qualities over others, why <em>wouldn&#8217;t </em>the market for sperm reflect those values? Perhaps sperm banks have something to learn about basic economics!</p>
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		<title>Renewable energy resources still have significant opportunity costs</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/04/renewable-energy-resources-still-have-significant-opportunity-costs/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/04/renewable-energy-resources-still-have-significant-opportunity-costs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Sep 2007 07:23:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Molly Saso</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Basic Economic Question]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Globalization]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[To eat . . . . or to drive? &#8211; Times Online The whole debate over global warming has just as many economic as environmental implications. A recent article in The Times illustrated how the growing investment in renewable biofuels impacts on global food markets. Apparently as a result, Japanese snack packets now contain 10% [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article2324406.ece">To eat . . . . or to drive? &#8211; Times Online</a></p>
<p><font face="Arial">The whole debate over global warming has just as many economic as environmental implications.  A recent article in The Times illustrated how the growing investment in renewable biofuels impacts on global food markets.    </font></p>
<p><font face="Arial"> </font></p>
<p><font face="Arial">Apparently as a result, Japanese snack packets now contain 10% less chips than they did a month ago, while the price of beer at the Munich Oktoberfest will be at record levels. </font></p>
<p><font face="Arial"> </font></p>
<blockquote><p><font face="Arial">These, say industry insiders, are the first skirmishes of a conflict that could soon dominate geopolitics: the war for resources between the worldâ€™s 800 million cars and its six billion stomachs. In the developed world, the war will come down to price and choice; in the developing world it could come down to survival. </font><font face="Arial">The war centres largely on global demand for biofuels â€” â€œgreenâ€ replacements for petrol, such as ethanol, that can be produced from sugar, corn and other agricultural products rather than fossil fuels.</font></p></blockquote>
<p><font face="Arial">Wheat and barley fields are being replaced by ethanol sources, such as sugar and corn, in the USA and Brazil.  Reduced food supplies are leading to higher prices for snacks and beer.  The article states starkly that the â€œwar for resourcesâ€ will be between cars and stomachs.  Economists would not envisage such an apocalypse, because they believe that the price system will efficiently allocate resources even on such a wide scale over the globe and between such apparently disparate goods.  But the intermediate scenarios should be interesting.  </font></p>
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<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/09/11/the-opportunity-cost-of-sex/' rel='bookmark' title='The opportunity cost of sex'>The opportunity cost of sex</a></li>
<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2008/07/14/the-opportunity-cost-of-pristine-wilderness-is/' rel='bookmark' title='The opportunity cost of pristine wilderness is&#8230;'>The opportunity cost of pristine wilderness is&#8230;</a></li>
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		<title>&#8220;Monster Hog&#8221; and the price of pork in China</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/06/04/monster-hog-and-the-price-of-pork-in-china/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/06/04/monster-hog-and-the-price-of-pork-in-china/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Jun 2007 00:18:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[National Geographic News Photo Gallery: Week in Photos: Monster Hog Near Delta, Alabama, May 3, 2007â€”Hogzilla may be headed for horror-movie heaven, but the massive swine that became an Internet sensation in 2004 may have been bested, size wise, by this reportedly wild pig killed May 3 by Jamison Stone, 11, and reported by the [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/06/photogalleries/wip-week31/photo5.html">National Geographic News Photo Gallery: Week in Photos: Monster Hog</a><a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/06/photogalleries/wip-week31/photo5.html"><img src="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/06/photogalleries/wip-week31/images/primary/hogzilla-big.jpg" align="right" height="229" width="337" /></a></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Near Delta, <a href="http://www.nationalgeographic.com/places/states/state_alabama.html">Alabama</a>, May 3, 2007</strong>â€”<a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2005/03/0322_050322_hogzilla.html">Hogzilla</a> may be <a href="http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/05/070501-hogzilla-picture.html">headed for horror-movie heaven</a>, but the massive swine that became an Internet sensation in 2004 may have been bested, size wise, by this reportedly wild pig killed May 3 by Jamison Stone, 11, and reported by the Associated Press on Wednesday.</p>
<p>From tip to tail, the newfound hogâ€”dubbed &#8220;Monster Pig&#8221;â€”measures 9 feet, 4 inches (284 centimeters) and weighs in at 1,051 pounds (477 kilograms), according to Stone&#8217;s father.</p>
<p>At a 150-acre (60-hectare), fenced hunting range, Stone said, he shot the huge beast eight times with a revolver before tracking it with his father and guides for three hours. Finally, the boy shot the hog at point-blank range, killing the animal, the AP reported.</p>
<p>While hunting by children is legal in Alabama, officials are investigating whether anyone had transported and released the live feral pig into the hunting preserve, which would violate state law.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote></blockquote>
<p>Okay, so maybe this one&#8217;s a stretch for a blog about economics, but sometimes when you see something in the news this amazing, you just have to share it with the world! Let&#8217;s see if I can come up with some questions about this one!</p>
<p><strong>Discussion Questions:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>What impact would &#8220;monster hog&#8221; have on the price of pork (assuming it goes to market)?</li>
<li>What will happen in the beef market once &#8220;monster hog&#8217;s&#8221; meat reaches the market? Explain.</li>
<li>Can you think of a product that might be a compliment to pork? Describe<br />
what will happen in that product&#8217;s market thanks to &#8220;monster hog&#8221;.</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Looks like China </strong>could use a few monster pigs of its own to relax the steep <em>increase</em> in pork prices recently!</p>
<p><a href="http://www.21food.com/news/detail5932.html">Tighter supplies lead to big price rises for pork, eggs-21food.com</a></p>
<blockquote><p>THE prices of pork and eggs have soared in past weeks across China due largely to tighter supplies and increasing production costs&#8230;Food products account for 33 percent of the CPI in China with meat, poultry and related products making up about 20 percent.</p>
<p>According to the Ministry of Agriculture, live pigs nationwide were 71.3 percent more expensive than a month earlier, and pork, 29.3 percent higher.</p>
<p>In Beijing, the price of slaughtered pigs went up more than 30 percent in recent days&#8230;</p>
<p>An outbreak of blue ear disease, also known as Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome, among pigs in Guangdong Province and the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, causing many deaths and a large amount of pigs to be culled, according to the National Development and Reform Commission&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8220;This sent a strong signal for distributors to jack up prices,&#8221; said Xu, adding that this exacerbated the unbalanced supply and demand.</p>
<p>&#8220;Pig raisers have lost money in the past couple years and they are reluctant to raise pigs. This led to a marginal decline in live pigs this year.&#8221;</p>
<p>Still worse, edible oil and grain prices rose at the beginning of this year, and feed prices followed suit.</p>
<p>Grain prices have risen largely due to an anticipated decline in output this summer and will continue to increase slightly in the coming weeks, boosting the prices of pork</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Discussion Questions:<br />
</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>What is the &#8220;CPI&#8221; and why has it risen in China recently?</li>
<li>Does this article discuss the determinants of demand or the determinants of supply? Which determinant is being affected in the pork market?</li>
<li>What is happening in the market for pork in China? Which curve is shifting, supply or demand?</li>
<li>What &#8220;strong signal&#8221; led pork distributors to &#8220;jack up prices&#8221;?</li>
<li>If the price of pork continues to rise, what should happen to the supply of pork? Explain.</li>
</ol>
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</ol></p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Gas prices continue to rise: Who&#8217;s worried?</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/21/gas-prices-continue-to-rise-whos-worried/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/21/gas-prices-continue-to-rise-whos-worried/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 May 2007 03:54:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Competitive Markets, Demand and Supply]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Gas hits record high price for eighth straight day &#8211; May. 20, 2007 According to CNN.com: &#8220;The run-up in prices is a big concern for store chains, according to the retailers&#8217; trade group. Its survey of consumers released early Friday found the average consumer believes that the price of gas will reach $3.32 per gallon [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/05/20/news/economy/record_gas_sunday/index.htm?section=money_news_economy">Gas hits record high price for eighth straight day &#8211; May. 20, 2007</a></p>
<p>According to CNN.com:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;The run-up in prices is a big concern for store chains, according to the retailers&#8217; trade group. Its survey of consumers released early Friday found the average consumer believes that the price of gas will reach $3.32 per gallon by Father&#8217;s Day&#8230; As a result, 40.2 percent of consumers are taking fewer shopping trips, while 37.9 percent told the survey they plan to shop closer to home.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;To offset the effects of higher prices, more consumers are giving their wallets a little extra cushion by cutting back on discretionary spending or choosing to frequent retailers closer to home.&#8221;"</p></blockquote>
<p>And this is a bad thing? To big chain stores, perhaps, but what about the neighborhood businesses (are there still any of those?) that will benefit after years of losing business to big box retailers like Wal-Mart and Home Depot? Consumers driving less may harm major retailers whose stores tend to be clumped together in mega shopping strips on the outskirts of towns, but surely the benefits of less driving outweigh the costs.</p>
<p>Fewer cars on the road mean less traffic, less noise, more space for cyclists, less hazard to pedestrians and children playing ball in their yards, cleaner air and a deceleration of global warming, more customers at neighborhood businesses, and perhaps even more quality time with family and friends (if we can assume less time shopping means more time with each other).</p>
<p>So if high gas prices result in so many improvements in our environment, relationships, communities and health, why are they such a bad thing? Perhaps because higher gas prices overburden the poor. Since fuel makes up a larger proportion of a poor family&#8217;s budget than a rich one&#8217;s, higher gas prices put a bigger dent in the disposable incomes of the poor than the rich. Economic theory would indicate that the poor&#8217;s demand for gas is more elastic than the rich&#8217;s, meaning that price increases are met with a greater decrease in consumption than someone for whom gas makes up a relatively small part of their overall budget. This, again, may not be so bad. Perhaps the poor will begin limiting their outings to those that are deemed most necessary (such as to and from work, school, child care or clinic) and cut back on unnecessary trips (such as to mall, the movie theater, the go cart track or the Wal-Mart across town). Less consumption may not lower overall standard of living when we consider that much of the consumption going on by Americans (rich and poor alike) is frivolous and ostentatious.</p>
<p>Even acknowledging the regressive nature of the burden of high gas prices, it still seems to me that higher prices are necessary to achieving a cleaner, healthier, better functioning society. The problem is, if <a href="http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=32">prices are kept artificially high through price gouging</a>, <a href="http://blog.johnedwards.com/story/2007/5/14/105329/753">as the Democratic leadership in Congress seems to believe</a>, then the full benefits of higher gas prices are being passed on to oil companies rather than society, as could be achieved with an effective gas tax.</p>
<p>CNN presents their own solution to the problem of high gas prices:</p>
<p><a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/05/10/news/economy/lower_gas_prices/index.htm">From higher taxes to more drilling, ways to cut gas prices &#8211; May. 10, 2007</a></p>
<blockquote><p>1- Pass a carbon tax<br />
2- Increase efficiency<br />
3- Push alternatives<br />
4- Require oil companies to make more gas<br />
5- Build a gasoline reserve<br />
6- Drill more oil</p></blockquote>
<p>It&#8217;s too bad my AP class has finished for the year. I think a great quiz would be to hand them this list and ask, &#8220;What&#8217;s missing?&#8221; Anyone who&#8217;s completed a semester in a Principle of Microeconomics course should be able to get an A on such a quiz. Can you tell what&#8217;s missing? If so, please post your comment here. (Hint- fill in the blank: Supply and ______<u>?</u>_______)</p>
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		<title>Federal Price Gouging Prevention Act: aka the &#8220;STUPID&#8221; bill</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/18/federal-price-gouging-prevention-act-aka-the-stupid-bill/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/18/federal-price-gouging-prevention-act-aka-the-stupid-bill/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 May 2007 03:44:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[collusion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Competitive Markets, Demand and Supply]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oligopoly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[price gouging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Supply/Demand]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=32</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s a follow-up to the previous post about stupid Americans acting stupid. Looks like the stupidity is not limited to the idiotic idea of boycotting gas for a day, rather it is alive and well among America&#8217;s leaders. Here&#8217;s the Democrats&#8217; solution to the high gas prices faced by Americans today: Join the Campaign to [...]]]></description>
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<p align="left">Here&#8217;s a follow-up to the previous post about <a href="http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=31" title="Stupid Americans acting Stupid">stupid Americans acting stupid</a>. Looks like the stupidity is not limited to the idiotic idea of <a href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2004/03/an_illconceived.html" title="Should consumers boycott gas stations?" target="_blank">boycotting gas for a day</a>, rather it is alive and well among America&#8217;s leaders. Here&#8217;s the Democrats&#8217; solution to the high gas prices faced by Americans today:<img src="http://cagle.msnbc.com/news/2004Chappatte/images/gas%20prices.jpg" align="right" height="247" width="366" /></p>
<p><a href="http://blog.johnedwards.com/story/2007/5/14/105329/753">Join the Campaign to Change America / John Edwards &#8217;08 Blog</a></p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;The ENERGY PRICE GOUGING PREVENTION ACT will provide immediate relief to consumers by giving the Federal Trade Commission the AUTHORITY to investigate prices&#8211;focusing on the causes, the burdens they put on American families and businesses, and solutions.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>And here&#8217;s an insightful and entertaining critique of the Democrat&#8217;s proposed bill by economist Tim Haab:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.env-econ.net/2007/05/all_politicians.html">Environmental Economics: All politicians are idiots and other obvious thoughts on high gas prices</a></p>
<blockquote><p><span style="color: #000000">&#8220;There are two possibile explanations for the Democrats proposal of the STUPID bill.  1) They think the public is too stupid realize they are trying to &#8220;do something&#8221; by proposing a STUPID bill, or 2) They are idiots.  Since Env-Econ readers obviously represent a cross-section of the public, and since Env-Econ readers are smart enough to know that this bill is STUPID, I have to conclude that 1) is logically impossible and therefore, 2) must be true.  So we&#8217;ve now proven that Democrats are idiots.  We&#8217;re halfway there.&#8221;</span><br />
<span style="color: #000000"></span></p></blockquote>
<p><span style="color: #000000">The stupidity of this proposed bill lies in the fact that Democrats seem to champion environmental protection, reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, and a solution to the global warming problem, while simultaneously fighting for regulations that REDUCE the price of greenhouse gas emitting fuel, the repeal of gas taxes, the expansion of oil refineries&#8217; capacity, and other measures that will assure the cheapest gas possible for American drivers. The two goals are incompatible, as the solution to the greenhouse gas problem requires HIGHER gas prices, not lower gas prices.</span></p>
<p>What policy makers don&#8217;t realize is that &#8220;high gas prices are NOT an economic or political problem.&#8221; Markets allocate resources efficiently when markets are allowed to work. Higher gas prices reflect the basic economic law of scarcity, supply and demand. With developing countries like China demanding a greater proportion of world reserves than ever before, American drivers preparing for their summer road trips and a war raging in the middle east,  higher prices at the pump should come as no surprise. Intervention in the gas market will result in greater inefficiency, as prices kept artificially low by government interfere with the market mechanism, increasing the quantity of gas demanded, and further exasperating the depletion of this scarce resource (not to mention contributing to the nation&#8217;s greenhouse gas emissions). The shortsightedness of legislators may only postpone the inevitable price rises of this resource for tomorrow&#8217;s consumers, while work in the complete opposite direction as they desire on the global warming front.<img src="http://www1.istockphoto.com/file_thumbview_approve/686900/2/istockphoto_686900_caveman.jpg" title="FPGPA supporter" alt="FPGPA supporter" align="right" height="218" width="218" /></p>
<p>Ultimately, higher gas prices are necessary and desirable if we are to transition to more environmentally friendly fuel sources. As petrol reaches $4.00 per gallon, consumers will think more seriously about buying more fuel-efficient automobiles, using public transportation, choosing to cycle to work and taking other such steps towards reducing their carbon footprints. This, after all, is the only way Democrats will ever achieve their other supposed goal of avoiding the catastrophe of global warming and achieving greater energy independence; and this can only happen if gas prices continue to rise.</p>
<p>So what about &#8220;price gouging&#8221;? Concentration of market power among a handful of firms in the oligopolistic oil market may indeed result in some degree of collusion and setting of prices above equilibrium. This is inefficient, yes, but it occurs in a market in which, unregulated, equilibrium output and price would also be inefficient due to the existence of negative externalities. In other words, even were oil companies competing directly, the price would be too low and output too high since the price of gas does not include the full social cost of gas consumption. In a way, the inefficiency arising from excess market power corrects the inefficiency arising from the existence of externalities. The catch is this: consumers end up lining the pockets of oil companies rather than filling their own national tax coffers, since the higher price is a result of collusion rather than taxation.</p>
<p>What policy makers should be discussing is <em>the imposition of new gas taxes, </em>which, rather than <em>only</em> increasing the price consumers would pay, would reduce the ability of oil firms to price gouge, taking a chunk out of their &#8220;record profits&#8221; and turning it into tax revenues. These revenues could then be invested into research of new fuel technologies, the subsidizing of which would increase their supplies, making them more competitive as a substitute for petrol and thus more attractive to consumers. This helps politicians achieve their goal of energy independence and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Lower gas prices NOW will only postpone this important transition.</p>
<p><strong>Here&#8217;s another clear presentation of why politicians should not meddle with oil prices: </strong><a href="http://www.knowledgeproblem.com/archives/002047.html">Knowledge Problem: Price Gouging &#8211; Politicians vs. Economists</a></p>
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		<title>May 15- &#8220;Gas Boycott Day&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/16/may-15-gas-boycott-day-in-america-stupid-americans-acting-stupid/</link>
		<comments>http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/16/may-15-gas-boycott-day-in-america-stupid-americans-acting-stupid/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 May 2007 10:08:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Welker</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Competitive Markets, Demand and Supply]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[price gouging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scarcity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Supply/Demand]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=31</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Environmental Economics: I couldn&#8217;t decide between &#8220;Gas Boycotts Don&#8217;t Work&#8221; and &#8220;Oh Crap, Here We Go Again&#8221; So, the idea is that on May 15 (today in America), millions of Americans will boycott oil companies by not filling their cars with gas in the hope that firms like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell and others will [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://www.env-econ.net/2007/05/i_couldnt_decid.html">Environmental Economics: I couldn&#8217;t decide between &#8220;Gas Boycotts Don&#8217;t Work&#8221; and &#8220;Oh Crap, Here We Go Again&#8221;</a></p>
<p><img src="http://www.wzzm13.com/assetpool/images/07514212221_gas.jpg" title="pressure at the pump!" alt="pressure at the pump!" align="left" height="105" width="140" /></p>
<p>So, the idea is that on May 15 (today in America), millions of Americans will boycott oil companies by not filling their cars with gas in the hope that firms like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Shell and others will be <em>forced</em> to lower their prices. The goal is to make oil companies lower their price per gallon by 30 cents.</p>
<p><img src="http://www.4-men.org/images/caveman.gif" title="Gas boycott supporter" alt="Gas boycott supporter" align="right" height="175" width="217" />Remember my post below <a href="http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/?p=27">&#8220;Why learning Economics is SO important&#8221;</a>? The American &#8220;Gas Boycott&#8221; is a perfect example of how people uneducated in economics can rally around really stupid and senseless ideas. The authors of Environmental Economics, a great blog, give all the reasons why this gas boycott will not achieve its goal. These are ALL basic economic concepts, which means that if ONLY the organizers of this boycott had bothered to take a principles course, they would have spared themselves of this embarrassing attempt at activism. I&#8217;ll keep finding reasons why learning economics is important, you keep learning!</p>
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<li><a href='http://welkerswikinomics.com/blog/2007/05/21/gas-prices-continue-to-rise-whos-worried/' rel='bookmark' title='Gas prices continue to rise: Who&#8217;s worried?'>Gas prices continue to rise: Who&#8217;s worried?</a></li>
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