Sep 19 2007
China’s “visible hand” clamps down on rising prices
FT.com / Asia-Pacific / China - China freezes government-set prices
Here’s a great article for both AP and IB students to pay attention to. The Chinese government is responding to rising prices at home by resorting to some good old fashioned “iron fist” measures, namely price controls on a wide range of products. For the rest of this year, prices on certain goods and services will not be permitted to rise, OR ELSE! (what? we don’t want to know!)
China has begun to enforce a freeze on all government-controlled prices in a sign of the central government’s alarm about rising popular anger over inflation, now at the highest rate in over a decade.The order freezes a vast array of prices still under the control of governments in China, ranging from oil, electricity and water, to the cost of parking and park entrance fees.
I find the following statement interesting:
“Any unauthorised price rises are strictly forbidden…and in principle, there will be no new price-raising measures this year,†the ministries’ announcement said. (italics added)
How strange is it that the government’s announcement pointed out that the freeze on prices is only in principle? Could this be the government’s attempt to placate a public that’s grown angry at their weakening purchasing power? Does this mean that if prices actually do go up, the government can just say, “Hey, at least we tried!” Looks like the old communist mentality has softened a bit in the era of market reforms!
So what’s the source of all these rising prices? Well, food plays a big role, thanks to a couple of factors:
The sharp spike in inflation is largely due to higher food prices, because of a shortage of pigs after a disease killed millions late last year and earlier in 2007, and the rising cost of feed, a global
phenomenon.
The China of today is very different from that of 20 or 30 years ago, when the government played a much larger role in the economy. Unleashing the beast of the free market in the early 80’s may have meant the government would have to loosen its grip in situations such as today’s inflation, and let the free market adjust on its own.
Economists said the price freeze is the kind of administrative measure redolent of China’s former planned economy, but it may be less effective in China today.
“They will not be able to control the price of everything,†said Chen Xingdong, of BNP Parisbas in Beijing.
Perhaps that’s for the better. Why might the government’s price controls actually make the matter worse for the average Chinese? If the government were to take a “laissez faire” approach to the problems faced by China, how might the free market resolve them on its own? Any ideas? Don’t worry, AP student, you don’t need to explain this yet, but I promise you by the end of the year you’ll be able to!
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A price ceiling can temporarily ease inflation, but in the long run, there are less goods available as suppliers decrease quantity in production, and as supply decreases and demand remains, shortage deteriorate. Since demand is unchangeable because of people’s needs for foods and gas, an increase in supply can decrease price, thus satisfying consumers’ demands. A free market will adjust by itself to reach the equilibrium: firms will improve its efficiency, consumers will switch between substitutes for the lowest price. China’s inflation will not improve under the government’s so called principle
The price-freeze on pork and other food products is unwise because the government does not realize underlying causes of this recent price boom.
One is the inflation of the yuan, causing pig farmers to pay more for supplies needed to raise pigs, thus increasing production costs.
The second is the strain that the government places on all farmers in China - the lack of subsidies and property rights. Because farmers cannot obtain private land to farm, their revenues from agricultural products cannot keep up with inflation. Their much needed financial aid is not supplied, and so their only way to “survive” is to increase the price of their products.
To the average consumer, the government appears to be helping them by enabling more purchases of food. However, what the government is doign is straining producers’ scare revenues, reducing their outputs because they are forced to migrate elsewhere where it is possible to earn a living. To the rest of the farmers, problems such as the quality of meat, substituting required processing ingredients with unsafe chemicals to lessen costs, will arise. This further reduces the supply of food. Therefore, the price-freeze will not benefit the producers nor the consumers.
Regarding to the price-freeze in parking and park entrance fees, the tactic might prove useful, assuming that the government enforces this law. It is common in China that state-firms acquire land at valuable locations for free (especially decades ago), then charge heavily for parking or park entrance fees. The money received often goes to a few corrupted men from these state-firms. They endure no costs (because land is free) and still creates a huge (unfair) revenue.
Perhaps it is for the interest of citizens that the central government sets up this price-freeze. It should also be noted that the inability of the government to enforce its vague policies is too common.
In a “laissez-faire” approach, I think that China would eventually begin importing more and more pork from other countries, or rely on cheaper substitutes such as fish, pork, or beef. Maybe China will eventually come to think of pork as a luxury instead of a necessity and dramatically reduce demand for it until there is enough Chinese pork for everyone.
The average Chinese person will be affected negatively because the price control will cause a shortage in quantity supplied by the average Chinese worker; the price control employed by the government will restrict the resource costs needed by the workers in order to provide a certain good or service. The lack of revenue will force the farmers to raise other animals or harvest other products in order to gain a larger revenue.
The free-market approach would eventually cause the market to reach equilibrium because firms will be forced to use the least-cost production, and until then consumers will purchase a substitute good to replace the original good, (eg. beef instead of pork).
This is an example of a government intervention in an economy. In this case, a price ceiling is established by the government in order to “help” the consumers gain more consumption power. However, this as usual, although with good intentions in mind, will in fact have a negative effect on the economy. As producers are now forced to sell their products at a lower price in order to enable consumers to buy more, producers will soon “lose interst” in producing that certain product, in this case, pork. Instead, they might turn to other goods in order to earn a living. Thus, this creates a shortage of pork produced, creating a market disequilibrium, with ineffecient allocative resources. In turn, the Chinese people would get even madder at the government.
If the Chinese government left the market alone in a laissez-faire policy, the market itself will return back to equilibrium through aspects of the market economy such as competition, forcing producers to allocate their resources effeciently at a minimum cost to produce maximum profit.
What the government is doing here is a classic example of setting a price ceiling well below the equilibrium line. While the government is trying to do might be “good” in a sense, in that it’s trying to help the consumers but this harms the producers because it is not making enough profit from the production price, thus lowering the supply.
From what we learned so far, if China converted into a laissez faire policy, the market will slowly revert itself back to a state of equilibrium where MB=MC. The factors that will cause this reversion would be competition and the scarcity of resources, which forces these producers to allocate their resources efficiently.
It seems pretty clear that a price ceiling can hold inflation for a short period time, but obviously it will not help the situation in the long run. As angel said, this is becuase the suppliers will decrease their production, and because the demand remains the same, shortage of that product will decrease. The government in this case is not actually helping the consumers, but actually it is making the situation even worse for the poor consumers to obtain their products.