May 25 2007
China’s Vice Premier talks basic economics
Wu: Large yuan rise would hurt China — Shanghai Daily | 上海日报
China’s Vice Premier Wu Yi defends China’s currency controls in Washington:
The yuan’s value isn’t the cause of the deficit, Wu said yesterday at a
dinner in Washington attended by US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson
and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke.About 85 percent of China’s surplus with the US is from foreign companies
exporting products no longer made in the United States, such as shoes,
she added.
So, America’s trade deficit is not because of a historically weak Yuan, rather because America imports shoes made in China. VP Wu should look more closely at her audience; she’s preaching to the choir with Paulson and Bernanke in attendance; and I doubt they’re swallowing what she’s dishing up. Of COURSE the trade deficit is because America imports “products no longer made in the United States”. But why do they do this? Uhm, could it be because of the historically weak Yuan? Looks like VP Wu could use a refresher in her principles of Macro course.
Now the US is threatening new trade barriers if the Chinese do not allow the Yuan to appreciate more on foreign exchange markets.
“Large scale yuan appreciation will have a negative impact on China’s
economy,” Wu said, adding that trade protection would hurt relations
between the US and China.
China’s increasing of the yuan’s flexibility may slow growth and cut into profits in Chinese firms. However, new barriers to trade with its largest trading partner will do the same. China’s liberalization of industry should now be accompanied by a similar liberalization of financial markets. A more balanced current account will allow China’s economy to begin growing at a more sustainable rate and help to allow China’s middle class access to the quality goods they demand from abroad.
Most importantly, American teachers in China will have access to more affordable breakfast cereal and quality coffee, which at current exchange rates cost more than I like to think about.
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would someone show me the econ 101 model that explains how the Yuan is traded against the dollar? i just can't figure it out…please send comments to: dogbreath@machlink.com
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